Tillmann von Carnap

• Nyqvist, Martina Björkman; Carnap, Tillmann von; Guariso, Andrea & Svensson, Jakob (2025). Weather shocks, infant mortality, and adaptation: Experimental evidence from Uganda. Journal of Development Economics. ISSN 0304-3878. 176. doi: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103478. Fulltekst i vitenarkiv Vis sammendrag

  Climate change is increasing the intensity of extreme weather events. Health is a primary channel through which climate change affects welfare. Yet, estimates of the mitigating effects of health system strengthening are largely missing. We combine data from a randomized trial inducing variation in healthcare access with naturally-occurring variation in growing-season precipitation to study the adaptive impact of community healthcare in a low-income country setting. The risk of infant death increases following low growing-season rainfall, but access to community healthcare reduces this risk by 46 %. Using our estimates coupled with projections from climatological models implies even larger potential adaptive effects.

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