Tore Wig

Image of Tore Wig
Norwegian version of this page
Phone +47 22844998
Mobile phone 90 52 27 29
Room 820
Available hours Mondays 13-14
Visiting address Gullhaug torg 1 0484 Oslo
Postal address Postboks 1097 Blindern 0317 Oslo




@torewig (twitter handle)

Google scholar 

Academic Interests

Conflict, institutions, civil war, interstate conflict, political violence, mass protest, democratization, authoritarian regimes, institutional theory, quantitative methods, political methodology



STV4027 - Quantitative causal analysis and prediction

STV4232 - Causes of war in international politics

STV2350 - Autocratic politics

STV1020 – Politisk analyse 2 - Forskningsdesign og kvantitativ metode


STV1020 - Metode og statistikk

STV4232B - Causes of war

STV4325B - Causes of political violence

STV4027 - Causal inference


2016-2017 Senior researcher, Peace Research Institute Oslo, PRIO

2015 - 2016 Postdoc, University of Oslo

2013-2015 Associated researcher, Peace Research Institute Oslo, PRIO

2012-2015 Phd fellow, University of Oslo


2016. His Majesty The King of Norway's Gold Medal for best doctoral dissertation at the Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Oslo.

2018. NEPS medal for best publication in Peace Science, for the article "Autocratic Elections: Stabilizing tool or force for change?" (with Håvard Mokleiv Nygård and Carl Henrik Knutsen)


I regularly contribute to Norwegian weekly Morgenbladet. I have also written for Washington Post's Monkey Cage:

- "This may be the largest wave of nonviolent mass movements in world history. What comes next?" (with Erica Chenoweth, Christopher Shay, Sirianne Dahlum, Zoe Marks and Sooyeon Kang, link)

 - "We checked 100 years of protests in 150 countries. Here’s what we learned about the working class and democracy." (with Sirianne Dahlum and Carl Henrik Knutsen, link).

- "You’d think dictators would avoid elections. Here’s why they don’t." (with Håvard Nygård and Carl Henrik Knutsen, link). 

Frequent contributions to Norwegian daily newspapers Aftenposten, Dagens Næringsliv, Klassekampen, VG.


Tags: Conflict, institutions, civil war, interstate conflict, political violence, mass protest, democratization, authoritarian regimes, institutional theory

Selected publications


2022. "The Deep Roots of Modern Democracy", med John Gerring, Andreas Forø Tollefsen og Brendan Apfeld, Cambridge University Press.

2022. "Årsaker til krig: Introduksjon til konfliktvitenskap", Fagbokforlaget. (Norwegian texbook)

2021. "One Road to Riches? How state building and democratization affect economic development", med Haakon Gjerløw, Matt Wilson og Carl Henrik Knutsen,  Cambridge University Press.


Journal articles

2021. "Why Monarchy? The Rise and Demise of a Regime Type.", with John Gerring, Jan Teorell, Wouter Veenendaal and Kyosuke Kikota, Comparative Political Studies, 54.3-4 (2021): 585-622

2021. "Chaos on Campus: Universities and Mass Political Protest", with Sirianne Dahlum, Comparative Political Studies, 54.1 (2021): 3-32.

2020.  "Peace above the glass ceiling: The historical relationship between female political empowerment and civil conflict.", with Sirianne Dahlum,  International Studies Quarterly 64.4 (2020): 879-893.

2019. "Who Revolts? Empirically Revisiting the Social Origins of Democracy", with Sirianne Dahlum and Carl Henrik Knutsen, forthcoming in Journal of Politics, Online first, DOI:

2019. “Patterns of Regime Breakdown since the French Revolution”, with Vilde Lunnan Djuve and Carl Henrik Knutsen, Comparative Political Studies, 53(6): 923-958..

2019. "“Introducing the Historical Varieties of Democracy Dataset: Political Institutions in the Long 19th Century”, with Carl Henrik Knutsen, Jan Teorell, Agnes Cornell, John Gerring, Haakon Gjerløw, Svend Erik Skaaning, Daniel Ziblatt, Kyle Marquardt, Dan Pemstein, and Brigitte Seim, Journal of Peace Research56(3): 440–451. 

2019. “Educating Demonstrators: Education and Mass Protest in Africa”, with Sirianne Dahlum,  Journal of Conflict Resolution 63(1): 3-30.

2018. “Which Groups Fight: Customary Institutions and Communal Conflicts in Africa”, with Daniela Kromrey, forthcoming in Journal of Peace Research. DOI: 10.1177/0022343317740416. (online first version here).

2017. “Autocratic Elections: Stabilizing Tool or Force for Change?” , with Carl Henrik Knutsen and Håvard M. Nygård, World Politics, 69(1): 98-143 (link,  and monkeycage bloggpost).

2017. “Mining and Local Corruption in Sub-Saharan Africa”, with Andreas Kotsadam, Eivind Hammersmark Olsen and Carl Henrik Knutsen,  American Journal of Political Science, 61(2): 320-334 (linkreplication files).

2016. “Peace from the Past: Pre-colonial Political Institutions and Civil War in Africa”,  Journal of Peace Research, 53(4): 509-524 (linkreplication files).

2016. “Local Institutional Quality and Conflict Violence in Africa”, with Andreas Forø Tollefsen, Political Geography, 53(7): 30-42. (linkreplication files ).

2016. “Cues to Coup Plotters: Elections as Coup Triggers in Dictatorships” ,  with Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 60(5): 787-812.  (link,  replication files).

2015. “Updated Data on Institutions and Elections 1960-2012: Presenting the IAEP dataset version 2.0”, Research & Politics 2(2), DOI: 10.1177/2053168015579120 (linkdata).

2015. “Government Turnover and the Effects of Regime Type: How Requiring Alternation in Power Biases Against the Estimated Economic Benefits of Democracy”, with Carl Henrik Knutsen, Comparative Political Studies 48(7), 882-914.

Published May 18, 2015 2:32 PM - Last modified July 8, 2022 2:12 PM