DefDem When will citizens defend democracy?

Sculpture holding arrows

Photo: DDP, Unsplash.

Duration
01.08.2021–31.12.2027

When and why will citizens defend democracy from attacks by aspiring autocrats? 

Contact

About the project

The last decade has seen several alarming setbacks for global democracy. Countries as diverse as Hungary, India, Russia, Turkey, the United States, Burundi and Venezuela have recently moved away from democracy by restricting civil liberties, press freedom, the fairness of elections and judicial independence.

Current processes of democratic erosion are often orchestrated by elected political executives, who gradually concentrate power in their own hands. In many instances, attempts at power-grabbing have been confronted with fierce resistance by citizens seeking to defend democracy. Other times, citizens have largely stayed silent in the face of democratic erosion, and aspiring autocrats have remained highly popular even after restricting democracy.

This project asks: When and why will citizens defend democracy from attacks by aspiring autocrats? To answer this, we will focus on the cognitive processes through which individuals form preferences and make decisions regarding how to react to hypothetical and real attacks on democracy. We will analyse how deeply committed citizens? really are to democratic principles -- including how willing they are to trade off democracy against other political preferences and concerns. This will be done drawing on a combination of survey and lab- experiments, in countries such as Norway, Turkey and Hungary.

The project will also analyse why and when citizens participate in mass mobilization against leaders with anti-democratic behavior, drawing data on mass mobilization events and sequences of democratic erosion across the world. The project will add sorely needed insights to our understanding of when democratically elected leaders can undermine democracy - and when citizens will prevent it.

Participants

Publications

  • Goldstein, Daniel A. N. & Magiya, Yusuf (2026). How Much War Builds a State? Fiscal Bargaining in the Shadow of War. Open Science Framework (OSF). doi: 10.31235/osf.io/ex3gb_v1. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel A. N. & Schumock, Collin Thomas (2026). The Weight of Precedent: Parties, Trust, and Executive Norms. Open Science Framework (OSF). doi: 10.31235/osf.io/9dv4u_v4. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel A. N.; Bakke, Kaja Sparre; Dahlum, Sirianne & Wig, Tore (2026). Elites as Democratic Gatekeepers: Theory and Evidence from Norway. Open Science Framework (OSF). doi: 10.31235/osf.io/2rwgt_v2. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahl, Marianne; Dahlum, Sirianne; Fjelde, Hanne; Gjerløw, Haakon; Knutsen, Carl Henrik & Strøm-Sedgwick, Carina [Show all 7 contributors for this article] (2025). Mass Mobilization in the Modern Era: Introducing the Opposition Movements and Groups (OMG) Dataset, 1789–2019. Comparative Political Studies. ISSN 0010-4140. doi: 10.1177/00104140251369330. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne; Langsæther, Peter Egge & Wig, Tore (2025). New evidence on citizens’ reactions to democratic norm violations in an advanced democracy. Electoral Studies: an international journal on voting and electoral systems and strategy. ISSN 0261-3794. 97. doi: 10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102971. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne; Hanson, Torbjørn; Johnsen, Åshild Auglænd; Kotsadam, Andreas & Wuttke, Alexander (2025). Is support for authoritarian rule contagious? Evidence from field and survey experiments. American Journal of Political Science (AJPS). ISSN 0092-5853. doi: 10.1111/ajps.70067. Full text in Research Archive
  • Claassen, Christopher; Ackermann, Kathrin; Bertsou, Eri; Borba, Lucas; Carlin, Ryan E. & Cavari, Amnon [Show all 22 contributors for this article] (2024). Conceptualizing and Measuring Support for Democracy: A New Approach. Comparative Political Studies. ISSN 0010-4140. doi: 10.1177/00104140241259458. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2023). Joining forces: Social coalitions and democratic revolutions. Journal of Peace Research. ISSN 0022-3433. 60(1), p. 42–57. doi: 10.1177/00223433221138614. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne; Pinckney, Jonathan & Wig, Tore (2022). Moral Logics of Support for Nonviolent Resistance: Evidence From a Cross-National Survey Experiment. Comparative Political Studies. ISSN 0010-4140. 56(3), p. 326–362. doi: 10.1177/00104140221100198. Full text in Research Archive
  • Mechkova, Valeriya; Dahlum, Sirianne & Petrarca, Constanza Sanhueza (2022). Women's political representation, good governance and human development. Governance. An International Journal of Policy, Administration and Institutions. ISSN 0952-1895. doi: 10.1111/gove.12742. Full text in Research Archive

View all works in NVA

View all works in NVA

  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick; Bakke, Kaja Sparre; Dahlum, Sirianne & Wig, Tore (2026). Elites as Democratic Gatekeepers: Theory and Evidence from Norway. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2026). Political Bright Lines: Norms, Information, and Accountability. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2026). Political Bright Lines: Norms, Information, and Accountability. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick; Dahlum, Sirianne & Wuttke, Alexander (2025). The Social Dynamics of Democratic Preferences. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2025). The Emergence of Political Bright Lines. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick; Schumock, Collin & Wiedemann, Johannes (2025). The ‘Daily Mail Test’: How Public Trust Constrains Bureaucratic Discretion in Public Procurement. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick; Wig, Tore; Dahlum, Sirianne & Bakke, Kaja Sparre (2025). Elites as Democratic Gatekeepers: Theory and Evidence from Norway. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2025). Democracy under pressure: How and why are democracies undermined”, invited talk at the Reuter’s Institute of Journalism, Oxford University. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2025). Social norms and democracy: Evidence from Lab Experiments”, invited talk at Department of Politics and International Relations (DPIR) Politics Colloqium, Oxford University. doi: https:/www.politics.ox.ac.uk/event/social-dynamics-democracy-insights-laboratory-experiments. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2025). The Social Transmission of Authoritarianism: Evidence from Field and Survey Experiments, invited talk at the Nuffield College Political Science Seminar, Oxford University. doi: https:/www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/news-events/events-and-seminars/political-science-seminar-ht25-week-7/. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2025). KI og valg - Universitetet i Oslo. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2025). UiOs prisar 2025: – Norsk ungdom har for liten kunnskap om kva demokrati er - Uniforum. [Journal]. Uniforum. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2025). Demokratiet i fare: Hvorfor roper ingen varsko? - Universitetet i Oslo. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2025). (+) – Valget i Polen bidrar med momentum til en bevegelse med klare anti-demokratiske tendenser. [Journal]. Minerva. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne; Langsæther, Peter Egge & Wig, Tore (2024). Meninger: Norske statsvitere: – Også i Norge er den autoritære trusselen reell. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2024). Statusrapport om det norske demokratiet. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2024). Reversals of Capacity. Journal of Politics Blog. Full text in Research Archive
  • Wig, Tore; Dahlum, Sirianne; Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick & Bakke, Kaja Sparre (2024). Elite commitments to democracy: Experimental evidence from Norway. Full text in Research Archive
  • Wig, Tore (2024). Krigens konsekvenser: Militærteknologi former også styresett og politisk utvikling. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2024). Despite concerns about democratic backsliding, Americans are happy to punish those who break democratic norms. London School of Economics US American Politics and Policy Blog. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2024). Bargaining over State Building in the Shadow of War. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2024). Intervju om unges forpliktelse til demokrati i Norge på Nyhetsmorgen. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2024). The Weight of Precedent: Parties, Institutions, and Executive Norms. Full text in Research Archive
  • Wig, Tore (2024). Demokratiets historie. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2024). Bargaining over State Building in the Shadow of War. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick; Wig, Tore; Dahlum, Sirianne & Bakke, Kaja Sparre (2024). Elite Commitments to Democracy: Evidence from Norway. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick; Wig, Tore; Dahlum, Sirianne & Bakke, Kaja Sparre (2024). Elite Commitments to Democracy: Evidence from Norway. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2024). The Social Foundations of Democratic Norms. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2023). Interviewed at Dagsnytt 18 on Norwegian citizens support for democracy, NRK P2. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne; Neundorf, Anja; Aykut, Ozturk & Frederiksen, Kristian Skaaning (2023). Security over democracy? A cross-country study of citizens' trade-offs between societal characteristics. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2023). Endogenous State Capacity. Broadstreet blog. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2023). Interviewed in a 3-episode series on global democratic backsliding, NRK P2. Full text in Research Archive
  • Wuttke, Alexander; Dahlum, Sirianne; Kotsadam, Andreas & Johnsen, Åshild Auglænd (2023). Peer effects on authoritarianism: Evidence from Norway. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2023). Hvordan er demokratiet i krise? Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne; Neundorf, Anja; Frederiksen, Kristian Skaaning & Aykut, Ozturk (2023). Security over democracy? A cross-country study of citizens' trade-offs between societal characteristics. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2023). Hvordan er demokratiet i fare? Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahl, Marianne; Dahlum, Sirianne; Wig, Tore; Gjerløw, Haakon; Knutsen, Carl Henrik & Metternich, Nils W. (2023). The role of collective social groups in democratization: Evidence from two centuries of mass protest. Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel Alexander Novick (2023). Bargaining over State Building in the Shadow of War. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2022). Hvordan og hvorfor forvitrer demokratiet? Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahl, Marianne; Fjelde, Hanne; Rudolfsen, Ida & Dahlum, Sirianne (2022). Sivilsamfunnet jobber i motbakke for å forsvare demokratiet. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne; Dahl, Marianne; Fjelde, Hanne & Rudolfsen, Ida (2022). The Dark Side of Mobilisation: Global Evidence on Authoritarian Protests. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2022). How deeply rooted is mass support for democracy? Evidence from Norway. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2021). Et blaff av demokrati? Issa, Wahab og Dahlum. Panelsamtale på Litteraturhuset. Full text in Research Archive
  • Dahlum, Sirianne (2021). The Case for Democracy: Do democracies provide better education? Full text in Research Archive
  • Goldstein, Daniel A. N. & Schumock, Collin (2025). The Weight of Precedent: Parties, Institutions, and Executive Norms. Open Science Foundation. doi: 10.31235/osf.io/9dv4u_v2. Full text in Research Archive

View all works in NVA

Funding

Funded by The Research Council of Norway

Project number: 315257

Collaborators

Project partner is the University of Glasgow.

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Published Nov. 21, 2024 1:30 PM - Last modified Apr. 9, 2026 1:15 PM