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Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria
(2021).
Den norske lønnsforhandlingsmodellen.
Samfunnsøkonomen.
ISSN 1890-5250.
135(2),
p. 5–7.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2020).
Mulighetene for brå endring i den økonomiske aktivitet, med og uten "lock-down".
Samfunnsøkonomen.
ISSN 1890-5250.
134(4),
p. 5–7.
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Dapi, Bjorn; Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria
(2019).
Robustness of the Norwegian wage formation system and free EU labour movement: Evidence from wage data for natives.
Discussion papers.
ISSN 1892-753X.
Show summary
Norway experienced a high immigration flow after the EEA directive in 2004 stating workers right to free movement within the European Union and EEA-countries. There is no clear consensus in the literature on how immigration affects native wages, but some studies using Norwegian micro data have estimated a negative effect of higher immigration for some type of workers. In this paper, to
capture that the wage setting is highly coordinated in Norway, we model a system of native wages for three sectors; manufacturing, private service industries and public sector. We estimate that labour immigration has had a negative effect on the attainable wage growth for natives in all three sectors,but that the largest and most direct impact on wages has been in the private service industries. Immigration is found to be exogenous with respect to the parameters of our model of wage
formation.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2019).
DSGE models and the violation of the law of entropy.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2018).
Kommentar til:
Like konkurransevilkår for offentlige og private aktører. Rapport fra arbeidsgruppe, levert Nærings- og fiskeridepartementet 23. januar 2018.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2017).
Alle veit jo det. Mytespinn om Phillipskurven.
Samfunnsøkonomen.
ISSN 1890-5250.
p. 40–43.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2017).
Long history wage modelling.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2017).
Følgerfagenes rolle i lønnsdannelsen i Norge.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2016).
Norwegian wage formation since independence.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2016).
Lønnssystemets skyld, ikke frihandel.
Dagens næringsliv.
ISSN 0803-9372.
p. 31–31.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2016).
Følgerfagenes rolle i systemet for lønnsdannelse
.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2016).
Innledning om konjunkturene og noen mer langsiktige utfordringer.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2016).
NAM-prognoser januar 2016.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2016).
Arbeidslivsregulering og inntektspolitikk i UK, 1900-1979.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2016).
The Pros and Cons of Model Based Macroeconomic Forecasting.
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Kostøl, Fredrik Bakkemo & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
En økonometrisk analyse av næringstall.
In Bjørnstad, Roger (Eds.),
Virkninger av allmenngjøring av tariffavtaler. En evaluering av allmengjøringsordningens virkninger på lønn, sysselsetting og arbeidsmarkedets virkemåte..
Senter for lønnsdannelse.
ISSN 9788293320234.
p. 93–112.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Norwegian Wages Since Independence.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Wage system: Have inflation targeting and EU labour immigration changed the system of wage formation in Norway?
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
NAM: Norwegian Aggregate Model; og: Om store prognosefeil.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Lønn og lønnsfordeling.
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Lund, Diderik & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Comparative statics for real options on oil: What stylized facts to use?
Show summary
An important application in the real options literature has been to investments in the oil sector. Two commonly applied “stylized facts” in such applications are tested
here. One is that the correlation of the returns on oil and the stock market is positive, the other that it is invariant to changes in oil price volatility. Both are rejected in data
for 1993–2008 for crude oil and the S&P 500 stock market index. Based on real options theory, consequences are pointed out. Higher volatility need not imply increased value
and postponed investment.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
The Norwegian System of Wage Formation. A Macro Perspective.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Flere våpen mot dårlige tider?
Dagens næringsliv.
ISSN 0803-9372.
p. 30–30.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Maktforhold avgjør lønnsveksten.
Dagens næringsliv.
ISSN 0803-9372.
p. 40–40.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Did US households Save for a Rainy Day Before the Great Recession?
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2015).
Frontfagsmodellen i fortid og framtid.
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Lund, Diderik & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2014).
Comparative statics for real options on oil: What stylized facts to use?
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Nymoen, Ragnar & Anundsen, Andre Kallåk
(2014).
Did US consumers save for a rainy day before the Great Recession?
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2014).
Tannløst reallønnsgap.
Dagens næringsliv.
ISSN 0803-9372.
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Nymoen, Ragnar & Bjørnstad, Roger.
(2013).
Frontfagmodellens utfordringer.
Dagens næringsliv.
ISSN 0803-9372.
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Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria
(2013).
Når ledigheten styrer.
Dagens næringsliv.
ISSN 0803-9372.
p. 34–34.
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Lund, Diderik & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2013).
A theoretical and empirical analysis of invariance assumptions in comparative statics for real options on oil.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2012).
Lønnsdannelsessystemet i Norge.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2012).
Makroøkonomiske prognosemodeller: Teori, metode og anvendelse.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2012).
Makroøkonomiske prognoser 2013-2016.
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Nymoen, Ragnar; Bårdsen, Gunnar & Kolsrud, Dag Olaf
(2012).
Forecast robustness in macroeconometric models.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2012).
Lønnsdannelsen og makrostabilitet.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2011).
Nobelprisen til Sargent og Sims.
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Nymoen, Ragnar; Bårdsen, Gunnar & Kolsrud, Dag Olaf
(2011).
Forecast robustness in macroeconomic models.
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Nymoen, Ragnar; Kornstad, Tom & Skjerpen, Terje
(2011).
Job Probability and Macroeconomic Shocks.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2011).
Lønnsdanningen i Norge. Hovedtrekk og betydning for måloppnåelse om høy sysselsetting.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2011).
Svak internasjonal inntektsutvikling: Konsekvenser for norsk økonomi og lønnsdannelse i 2012.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2011).
Svak internasjonal inntektsutvikling: Konsekvenser for norsk økonomi i 2012.
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Krogh, Tord Sigurd Holmsen; Anundsen, Andre Kallåk; Nymoen, Ragnar & Vislie, Jon
(2011).
Overdeterminacy and endogenous cycles: Trygve Haavelmo's business cycle model. Presentasjon på forskningsseminar i Statistisk Sentralbyrå.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2010).
Norges Bank tilbake til responsfunksjonen?
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2010).
En oljeprisforklart børs.
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2010).
Makroøkonomiske prognoser.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2010).
Økonomene spår - økonomien rår.
Samfunnsøkonomen.
ISSN 1890-5250.
64(3),
p. 50–51.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2009).
Makroøkonomisk teori: Krisen viser (ir)relevansen.
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2009).
Krisen og likevektsledigheten.
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2009).
Finanskrisen----så langt.
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2009).
Om relevansen av en kvantitetslikning for norsk inflasjon.
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2009).
Samfunnsøkonomenes prognosepris 2009.
Samfunnsøkonomen.
ISSN 1890-5250.
p. 20–25.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2008).
Midlertidig ute av drift?
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Nymoen, Ragnar
(2008).
"Et overbestemt system".
Finansavisen.
ISSN 0803-9518.
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Benedictow, Andreas; Bjøru, Emil Cappelen; Nymoen, Ragnar; Røtnes, Rolf A. & Kordt, Amund H.
(2020).
Virkninger av redusert normalarbeidstid på norsk økonomi .
Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse.
ISSN 978-82-8395-077-9.
Rapport(11-2020).
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Benedictow, Andreas; Bjøru, Emil Cappelen & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2020).
En utvidet simuleringsmodell
for lønnsdannelsen.
Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse.
ISSN 978-82-8395-071-7.
Rapport(5-2020).
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Benedictow, Andreas; Bjøru, Emil Cappelen; Dalnoki, Simon; Eggen, Fernanda Winger & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2019).
Hvordan bør sentrale mekanismer i
Den norske modellen reflekteres i
makroøkonomiske modeller?
Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse AS.
ISSN 978-82-8395-040-3.
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Eggen, Fernanda Winger; Gottschalk, Petter; Nymoen, Ragnar; Ognedal, Tone & Rybalka, Marina
(2017).
Analyse av former, omfang og utvikling av arbeidskriminalitet.
Samfunnsøkonomisk Analyse.
ISSN 978-82-93320-82-1.
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Nymoen, Ragnar & Kostøl, Fredrik
(2016).
Framskrivning av valutakurs i samfunnsøkonomiske analyser.
Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse.
ISSN 978-82-93320-34-0.
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Nymoen, Ragnar & Jordfall, Bård
(2016).
Hva skjer nederst i lønnsfordelingen i privat sektor?
Senter for lønnsdannelse, FAFO og Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse.
ISSN 978-82-93320-62-3.
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Bårdsen, Gunnar; den Reijer, Ard; Jonasson, Patrik & Nymoen, Ragnar
(2011).
MOSES: Model of Swedish Economic Studies.
Sveriges Riksbank.
Show summary
MOSES is an aggregate econometric model for Sweden, estimated on quarterly
data, and intended for short-term forecasting and policy simulations. After a presentation
of qualitative model properties, the econometric methodology is summarized.
The model properties, within sample simulations, and examples of dynamic simulation
(model forecasts) for the period 2009q2-2012q4 are presented. We address practicalissues relating to operational use and maintenance of a macro model of this type. The detailed econometric equations are reported in an appendix.
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Nymoen, Ragnar; Castle, Jennifer L.; Doornik, Jurgen & Hendry, David F.
(2010).
Testing the Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation.
Department of Economics University of Oslo.
Show summary
The new-Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) includes expected future inflation as a major feedforward variable to explain current inflation. Models of this type are regularly estimated by replacing the expected value by the actual future outcome, then using Instrumental Variables or Generalized Method of Moments methods to estimate the parameters. However, the underlying theory does not allow for various forms of non-stationarity in the data–despite the fact that crises, breaks and regimes shifts are relatively common. We investigate the consequences for NKPC estimation of breaks in data processes using the new technique of impulse-indicator saturation, and apply the resulting methods to salient published studies to check their viability.
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Nymoen, Ragnar & Kolsrud, Dag Olaf
(2010).
Macroeconomic Stability or Cycles? The Role of the Wage-price Spiral.
Department of Economics University of Oslo.
Show summary
We derive aggregate supply (AS) relationships for an intermediate-run macro model. The wage-price spiral provides the conceptual framework for a synthesis of different contesting theoretical and empirical perspectives on the AS curve: the Phillips curve model (PCM) and the wage-price equilibrium correction model (WPECM). The generalized AS curve is grafted into a small macro model. We analyze stability conditions, steady states, and dynamic solutions, using a combination of algebra and simulations. The specification of the AS curve, as a PCM or a WPECM, is shown to be important for all aspects of the model’s solution, but within each model also the detailed parameterization is of qualitative importance. For example, endogenous cyclical fluctuations are typical for both nominal and real variables, e.g. inflation and unemployment.
