Ragnar Nymoen

Image of Ragnar Nymoen
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Phone +47 22855148
Mobile phone +97970248
Room ES1134
Available hours Mon 11.00-12.00
Username
Visiting address Sognsveien 77 0855 Oslo
Postal address Postboks 1095 Blindern 0317 Oslo

Academic Interests

Macroeconomics, macroeconometric models, forecasting, time series and panel data econome

Courses taught

Background

  • Head of Department, Department of economics, University of Oslo, 2002-2004
  • Professor, Department of economics, University of Oslo, 1997-
  • Associate professor, Department of economics, University of Oslo, 1996-1997
  • Head of Macroeconomentric Research and Model Building, 1995-1996
  • Acting research director, Research department, Norges Bank, 1993-1994
  • Associate professor II of econometrics, Department of economics, University of Oslo, 1993-1996
  • Scientific advisor, Research department, Norges Bank, 1993-1995
  • Phd. (economics), University of Oslo, 1990
  • Consultant, Norges Bank, 1985-1989
  • Cand. polit. (economics), University of Oslo, 1984
  • Cand. mag. (sociology), University of Oslo, 1979

Positions held

  • Head of Research, Centre for Wage Formation, 2014-2017t
  • Member, Norwegian National Accounts Advisory Committee, Statistics Norway, 2000-2002
  • Leader, Centre for monetary policy and financial markets research, 1998
  • Member, Modelling committee, Ministry of Finance, 1996-2003
  • Faculty board member---Faculty of social sciences, 2008-2011

 

Tags: Economics, Econometrics

Publications

  • “Cointegration and Structure in Norwegian Wage Price Dynamics”, with M. Gjelsvik and V. Sparrman, Econometrics, 2020, 8, 1-29
  • Dynamic Econometrics for Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling, World Scientific, 2019
  • Testing the Empirical Relevance of the `Saving for a Rainy Day’ hypothesis in US Metro Areas, with  A. K. Anundsen, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2019, 81 (6) 1318-1335. doi: 10.1111/obes.12310
  • Between institutions and Global forces. Norwegian Wage Formation Since Industrialisation. Econometrics 2017, 5(1), 6; doi:10.3390/econometrics5010006
  • Equilibrium Unemployment Dynamics in a Panel of OECD Countries, with Victoria Sparrman. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 2015, 77, 164-190 2015.
  • Mis-specification Testing: Non-Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation, with Jennifer L. Castle, Jurgen A. Doornik and David F. Hendry, Econometric Reviews, 2014, 33:5-6, 553-574
  • Q. Farooq Akram and Ragnar Nymoen, "Model selection for monetary policy analysis-How important is empirical validity?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics Vol 1, 2009, 35-68
  • Gunnar Bårdsen and Ragnar Nymoen, "Macroeconometric modeling for policy," Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics Vol 2, 2009
  • Gunnar Bårdsen and Ragnar Nymoen, "U.S. natural rate dynamics reconsidered," The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics, Oxford University Press, 2009
  • Solveig Erlandsen and Ragnar Nymoen, "Consumption and population age structure," Journal of Population Economics 21(3), 2008, 505-520
  • Gunnar Bårdsen,Eilev S. Jansen, Øyvind Eitrheim and Ragnar Nymoen, "The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling," Oxford: Oxford University Press 2005. (338 pages)
  • Gunnar Bårdsen and Ragnar Nymoen, "Testing steady-state implications for the NAIRU," in Review of Economics and Statistics 85(4), 2003, 1070-1075
  • Gunnar Bårdsen, Eilev S. Jansen and Ragnar Nymoen, "Econometric evaluation of the New Keynesian Phillips curve," in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 66(suppl 1), 2004, 671-686
  • Gunnar Bårdsen, Eilev S. Jansen and Ragnar Nymoen, "Econometric inflation targeting," Econometrics Journal 6, 2003, 429-460
  • Gunnar Bårdsen, Paul F. Fisher and Ragnar Nymoen, "Business cycles: Real facts or fallacies?" s. 499-527 in Steinar Strøm (edt.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1998
  • Steinar Holden and Ragnar Nymoen, "Measuring structural unemployment: NAWRU estimates in the Nordic countries," in Scandinavian Journal of Economics 104(1), 2002, 87-104
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Benedictow, Andreas & Kordt, Amund Arthur Hanson (2022). Naturlig ledighet og den norske modellen for lønnsdannelse. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 136(3), p. 39–53.
  • Svarstad, Elin & Nymoen, Ragnar (2022). Wage inequality and union membership at the establishment level: An econometric study using Norwegian data. Oxford Economic Papers. ISSN 0030-7653. doi: 10.1093/oep/gpac018. Full text in Research Archive
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2022). Dynamisk modellering og framskrivning av nye smittede og innlagte med Covid-19 i Norge. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 136(1), p. 5–13. Full text in Research Archive
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2021). The Role of Wage Formation in Empirical Macroeconometric Models, Oxford Research Encyclopedias: Economics and Finance. Oxford University Press. ISSN 9780190625979.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Sparrman, Victoria & Gjelsvik, Marit (2020). Cointegration and Structure in Norwegian Wage–Price Dynamics. Econometrics. ISSN 2225-1146. 8(3). doi: 10.3390/econometrics8030029.
  • Anundsen, André Kallåk & Nymoen, Ragnar (2019). Testing the empirical relevance of the "saving for a rainy day" hypothesis in US metro areas. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. ISSN 0305-9049. 81(6), p. 1318–1335. doi: 10.1111/obes.12310.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Pedersen, Kari & Sjåberg, Jon Ivar (2019). Estimation of Effects of Recent Macroprudential Policies in a Sample of Advanced Open Economies. International Journal of Financial Studies (IJFS). ISSN 2227-7072. 7(2). doi: 10.3390/ijfs7020023. Full text in Research Archive
  • Lund, Diderik & Nymoen, Ragnar (2018). Comparative statics for real options on oil: What stylized facts? The Engineering Economist. ISSN 0013-791X. 63(1), p. 54–65. doi: 10.1080/0013791X.2017.1283001. Full text in Research Archive
  • Bårdsen, Gunnar; Kolsrud, Dag & Nymoen, Ragnar (2017). Forecast Robustness in Macroeconometric Models. Journal of Forecasting. ISSN 0277-6693. 36(6), p. 629–639. doi: 10.1002/for.2459. Full text in Research Archive
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2017). Between Institutions and Global Forces: Norwegian Wage Formation Since Industrialisation. Econometrics. ISSN 2225-1146. 5(1). doi: 10.3390/econometrics5010006. Full text in Research Archive
  • Kolsrud, Dag & Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Heuristic vs formal dynamics of the wage- and price-curve model of equilibrium unemployment. Journal of economic studies. ISSN 0144-3585. 42(2), p. 186–206. doi: 10.1108/JES-05-2013-0074.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria (2015). Equilibrium Unemployment Dynamics in a Panel of OECD Countries. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. ISSN 0305-9049. 77(2), p. 164–190. doi: 10.1111/obes.12061.
  • Kolsrud, Dag Olaf & Nymoen, Ragnar (2014). Macroeconomic Stability or Cycles? The Role of the Wage Price Spiral. Australian Economic Papers. ISSN 0004-900X. 53(1-2), p. 41–68. doi: 10.1111/1467-8454.12020.
  • Anundsen, Andre Kallåk; Krogh, Tord S.; Nymoen, Ragnar & Vislie, Jon (2014). Overdeterminacy and endogenous cycles: Trygve haavelmo's business cycle model. Metroeconomica. ISSN 0026-1386. 65(3), p. 460–486. doi: 10.1111/meca.12049.
  • Castle, Jennifer L.; Doornik, Jurgen; Hendry, David F. & Nymoen, Ragnar (2014). Misspecification Testing: Non-Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation. Econometric Reviews. ISSN 0747-4938. 33(5-6), p. 553–574. doi: 10.1080/07474938.2013.825137.
  • Kornstad, Tom; Nymoen, Ragnar & Skjerpen, Terje (2013). Macroeconomic shocks and the probability of being employed. Economic Modelling. ISSN 0264-9993. 33, p. 572–587. doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.022.
  • Vislie, Jon; Anundsen, Andre Kallåk; Krogh, Tord Sigurd Holmsen & Nymoen, Ragnar (2012). The Macroeconomics of Trygve Haavelmo. Nordic Journal of Political Economy. ISSN 0805-7508. 37, p. 1–26.
  • Bårdsen, Gunnar; den Reijer, Ard; Jonasson, Patrik & Nymoen, Ragnar (2012). MOSES: Model for studying the economy of Sweden. Economic Modelling. ISSN 0264-9993. 29(6), p. 2566–2582. doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.08.007.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Swensen, Anders Rygh & Tveter, Eivind (2012). Interpreting the evidence for New Keynesian models of inflation dynamics. Journal of macroeconomics. ISSN 0164-0704. 34(2), p. 253–263. doi: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2012.01.008.
  • Anundsen, Andre Kallåk; Krogh, Tord Sigurd Holmsen; Nymoen, Ragnar & Vislie, Jon (2011). Haavelmos makromodeller: Endogene konjunkturer og inflasjonsteori. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 125(9), p. 32–43.
  • Falch, Nina Skrove & Nymoen, Ragnar (2011). The Accuracy of a Forecast Targeting Central Bank. Economics. ISSN 1864-6042. 5(15), p. 1–36. doi: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2011-15.
  • Anundsen, Andre Kallåk; Krogh, Tord Sigurd Holmsen; Nymoen, Ragnar & Vislie, Jon (2011). Overdeterminacy and endogenous cycles: Trygve Haavelmo’s business cycle model and its implications for monetary policy. Memorandum from Department of Economics, University of Oslo. ISSN 0809-8786. doi: 10.1111/meca.12049.
  • Bårdsen, Gunnar & Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). US Natural Rate Dynamics Reconsidered. In Castle, Jennifer L. & Shephard, Neil (Ed.), The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics. Oxford University Press. ISSN 978-0-19-923719-7. p. 386–411.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Bårdsen, Gunnar (2009). Macroeconometric Modeling for Policy. In Mills, Terence C. & Patterson, Kerry (Ed.), Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics Volume 2: Applied Econometrics. Palgrave Macmillan. ISSN 9781403917997. p. 821–951.
  • Bårdsen, Gunnar & Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). U.S. natural rate dynamics reconsidered, The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics. Oxford University Press. ISSN 9780199237197. p. 386–411.
  • Bårdsen, Gunnar & Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Macroeconometric modelling for policy, Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics vol. 2. Palgrave Macmillan. ISSN 9781403917997. p. 851–916.
  • Akram, Q. Farooq & Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Model Selection for Monetary Policy Analysis: How Important is Empirical Validity? Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. ISSN 0305-9049. 71(1), p. 35–68. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2008.00516.x.
  • Bjørnstad, Roger.; Cappelen, Ådne & Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Inflasjonsforventninger og pengepolitiske regimer. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 63(2), p. 17–29.

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  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2019). Dynamic Econometrics for Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling. World Scientific. ISBN 9789811207518. 567 p.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Bårdsen, Gunnar (2014). Videregående emner i økonometri. Fagbokforlaget. ISBN 978-82-450-1213-2. 362 p.
  • Bårdsen, Gunnar & Nymoen, Ragnar (2011). Innføring i økonometri. Fagbokforlaget. ISBN 978-82-450-0100-6. 294 p.

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  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria (2021). Den norske lønnsforhandlingsmodellen. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 135(2), p. 5–7.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2020). Mulighetene for brå endring i den økonomiske aktivitet, med og uten "lock-down". Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 134(4), p. 5–7.
  • Dapi, Bjorn; Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria (2019). Robustness of the Norwegian wage formation system and free EU labour movement: Evidence from wage data for natives. Discussion papers. ISSN 1892-753X.
  • Haraldsen, Kristine Wika; Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria (2019). Labour market institutions, shocks and the employment rate . Discussion papers. ISSN 1892-753X.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2019). DSGE models and the violation of the law of entropy.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2018). Kommentar til: Like konkurransevilkår for offentlige og private aktører. Rapport fra arbeidsgruppe, levert Nærings- og fiskeridepartementet 23. januar 2018.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2017). Alle veit jo det. Mytespinn om Phillipskurven. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. p. 40–43.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2017). Long history wage modelling.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2017). Følgerfagenes rolle i lønnsdannelsen i Norge.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2016). Norwegian wage formation since independence.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2016). Lønnssystemets skyld, ikke frihandel. Dagens næringsliv. ISSN 0803-9372. p. 31–31.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2016). Følgerfagenes rolle i systemet for lønnsdannelse .
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2016). Innledning om konjunkturene og noen mer langsiktige utfordringer.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2016). NAM-prognoser januar 2016.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2016). Arbeidslivsregulering og inntektspolitikk i UK, 1900-1979.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2016). The Pros and Cons of Model Based Macroeconomic Forecasting.
  • Kostøl, Fredrik Bakkemo & Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Maktforhold avgjør lønnsveksten. Dagens næringsliv. ISSN 0803-9372.
  • Kostøl, Fredrik Bakkemo & Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). En økonometrisk analyse av næringstall. In Bjørnstad, Roger (Eds.), Virkninger av allmenngjøring av tariffavtaler. En evaluering av allmengjøringsordningens virkninger på lønn, sysselsetting og arbeidsmarkedets virkemåte.. Senter for lønnsdannelse. ISSN 9788293320234. p. 93–112.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Norwegian Wages Since Independence.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Wage system: Have inflation targeting and EU labour immigration changed the system of wage formation in Norway?
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). NAM: Norwegian Aggregate Model; og: Om store prognosefeil.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Lønn og lønnsfordeling.
  • Lund, Diderik & Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Comparative statics for real options on oil: What stylized facts to use?
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). The Norwegian System of Wage Formation. A Macro Perspective.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Flere våpen mot dårlige tider? Dagens næringsliv. ISSN 0803-9372. p. 30–30.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Maktforhold avgjør lønnsveksten. Dagens næringsliv. ISSN 0803-9372. p. 40–40.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Did US households Save for a Rainy Day Before the Great Recession?
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2015). Frontfagsmodellen i fortid og framtid.
  • Lund, Diderik & Nymoen, Ragnar (2014). Comparative statics for real options on oil: What stylized facts to use?
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Anundsen, Andre Kallåk (2014). Did US consumers save for a rainy day before the Great Recession?
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2014). Tannløst reallønnsgap. Dagens næringsliv. ISSN 0803-9372.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Bjørnstad, Roger. (2013). Frontfagmodellens utfordringer. Dagens næringsliv. ISSN 0803-9372.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria (2013). Når ledigheten styrer. Dagens næringsliv. ISSN 0803-9372. p. 34–34.
  • Lund, Diderik & Nymoen, Ragnar (2013). A theoretical and empirical analysis of invariance assumptions in comparative statics for real options on oil.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2012). Lønnsdannelsessystemet i Norge.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2012). Makroøkonomiske prognosemodeller: Teori, metode og anvendelse.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2012). Makroøkonomiske prognoser 2013-2016.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Bårdsen, Gunnar & Kolsrud, Dag Olaf (2012). Forecast robustness in macroeconometric models.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2012). Lønnsdannelsen og makrostabilitet.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2011). Nobelprisen til Sargent og Sims.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Bårdsen, Gunnar & Kolsrud, Dag Olaf (2011). Forecast robustness in macroeconomic models.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Kornstad, Tom & Skjerpen, Terje (2011). Job Probability and Macroeconomic Shocks.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2011). Lønnsdanningen i Norge. Hovedtrekk og betydning for måloppnåelse om høy sysselsetting.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2011). Svak internasjonal inntektsutvikling: Konsekvenser for norsk økonomi og lønnsdannelse i 2012.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2011). Svak internasjonal inntektsutvikling: Konsekvenser for norsk økonomi i 2012.
  • Krogh, Tord Sigurd Holmsen; Anundsen, Andre Kallåk; Nymoen, Ragnar & Vislie, Jon (2011). Overdeterminacy and endogenous cycles: Trygve Haavelmo's business cycle model. Presentasjon på forskningsseminar i Statistisk Sentralbyrå.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2010). Norges Bank tilbake til responsfunksjonen? Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2010). En oljeprisforklart børs. Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2010). Makroøkonomiske prognoser.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2010). Økonomene spår - økonomien rår. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 64(3), p. 50–51.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Makroøkonomisk teori: Krisen viser (ir)relevansen. Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Krisen og likevektsledigheten. Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Finanskrisen----så langt. Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Om relevansen av en kvantitetslikning for norsk inflasjon. Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar (2009). Samfunnsøkonomenes prognosepris 2009. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. p. 20–25.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2008). Midlertidig ute av drift? Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar (2008). "Et overbestemt system". Finansavisen. ISSN 0803-9518.
  • Bjørnstad, Roger. & Nymoen, Ragnar (2008). Modellvalget er viktig for pengepolitikken. Svar til Holmsen, Nicolaisen og Røisland. Samfunnsøkonomen. ISSN 1890-5250. 62(1), p. 6–9.
  • Benedictow, Andreas; Bjøru, Emil Cappelen; Kordt, Amund; Nymoen, Ragnar & Røtnes, Rolf A. (2020). Virkninger av redusert normalarbeidstid på norsk økonomi . Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse. ISSN 978-82-8395-077-9. Rapport(11-2020).
  • Benedictow, Andreas; Bjøru, Emil Cappelen & Nymoen, Ragnar (2020). En utvidet simuleringsmodell for lønnsdannelsen. Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse. ISSN 978-82-8395-071-7. Rapport(5-2020).
  • Benedictow, Andreas; Bjøru, Emil Cappelen; Dalnoki, Simon; Eggen, Fernanda Winger & Nymoen, Ragnar (2019). Hvordan bør sentrale mekanismer i Den norske modellen reflekteres i makroøkonomiske modeller? Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse AS. ISSN 978-82-8395-040-3.
  • Dapi, Bjorn; Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria (2019). Robustness of the Norwegian wage formation system and free EU labour movement. Evidence from wage data for natives. Department of Economics. University of Oslo. ISSN 0809-8786.
  • Bjørnstad, Roger; Gran, Bjørn; Bakkemo Kostøl, Fredrik & Nymoen, Ragnar (2017). Pengepolitikk med sterkt koordinert lønnsdannelse. Senter for lønnsdannelse v/Fafo og Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse. ISSN 978-82-93320-71-5.
  • Eggen, Fernanda Winger; Gottschalk, Petter; Nymoen, Ragnar; Ognedal, Tone & Rybalka, Marina (2017). Analyse av former, omfang og utvikling av arbeidskriminalitet. Samfunnsøkonomisk Analyse. ISSN 978-82-93320-82-1.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Kostøl, Fredrik (2016). Framskrivning av valutakurs i samfunnsøkonomiske analyser. Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse. ISSN 978-82-93320-34-0.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Jordfall, Bård (2016). Hva skjer nederst i lønnsfordelingen i privat sektor? Senter for lønnsdannelse, FAFO og Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse. ISSN 978-82-93320-62-3.
  • Bårdsen, Gunnar; den Reijer, Ard; Jonasson, Patrik & Nymoen, Ragnar (2011). MOSES: Model of Swedish Economic Studies. Sveriges Riksbank.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar; Castle, Jennifer L.; Doornik, Jurgen & Hendry, David F. (2010). Testing the Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation. Department of Economics University of Oslo.
  • Nymoen, Ragnar & Kolsrud, Dag Olaf (2010). Macroeconomic Stability or Cycles? The Role of the Wage-price Spiral. Department of Economics University of Oslo.

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Published Oct. 3, 2010 5:27 PM - Last modified Jan. 20, 2021 11:40 AM