Anine Cecilie Riege

• Nordbye, Gro Hege Haraldsen; Riege, Anine H. & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2018). Better safe than sorry: Risking irresponsibility by seeking uncertainty.. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.  ISSN 0894-3257.  31(1), s 87- 99 . doi: 10.1002/bdm.2049 Fulltekst i vitenarkiv.
• Lone, Jon Anders; Riege, Anine Cecilie; Bjørklund, Roald Arild; Hoff, Thomas & Bjørkli, Cato Alexander (2017). The relationship between the broader environment and the work system in a university setting: a systems approach. Studies in Higher Education.  ISSN 0307-5079.  42(1), s 3- 22 . doi: 10.1080/03075079.2015.1034259
• Riege, Anine Cecilie & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2017). Everybody Will Win, and All Must Be Hired: Comparing Additivity Neglect with the Nonselective Superiority Bias. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making.  ISSN 0894-3257.  30(1), s 95- 106 . doi: 10.1002/bdm.1924 Fulltekst i vitenarkiv.
• Riege, Anine Cecilie; Sulutvedt, Unni & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2014). Format dependent probabilities: An eye-tracking analysis of additivity neglect. Polish Psychological Bulletin.  ISSN 1641-7844.  45(1), s 12- 20 . doi: 10.2478/ppb-2014-0003 Vis sammendrag

  When people are asked to estimate the probabilities of uncertain events, they often neglect the additivity principle, which requires that the probabilities assigned to an exhaustive set of outcomes should add up to 100%. Previous studies indicate that additivity neglect is dependent on response format, self-generated probability estimates being more coherent than estimates on rating scales. The present study made use of eye-tracking methodology, recording the movement, frequency and duration of fixations during the solution of ten additivity problems and two control tasks. Participants produced more non-additive estimates in the Scale format than in the Self-generated format. Self-generated estimates also led to longer decision time and a higher number of repeated inspections, suggesting a deliberate comparison process. In contrast, the Scale format seemed to encourage a case-based approach where each outcome is evaluated in isolation.

• Riege, Anine H. & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2013). Additivity neglect in probability estimates: Effects of numeracy and response format. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes.  ISSN 0749-5978.  121(1), s 41- 52 . doi: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2012.11.004 Vis sammendrag

  When people are asked to estimate the probabilities for an exhaustive set of more than two events, they often produce probabilities that add up to more than 100%. Potential determinants for such additivity neglect are explored in four experiments. Additive responses vary between experimental conditions, mainly as a result of response format, with a scale format leading to fewer additive responses than a list format with self-generated, written probabilities. Participants with high numeracy scores produced more additive responses, especially after being primed with a numeracy scale. Additivity neglect for 100% sums appears to be unrelated to other subadditive judgments, like non-additive disjunctions. We conclude that additivity neglect is caused by a case-based approach, which comes natural in real-life situations where the full set of outcomes is not available.

• Teigen, Karl Halvor; Juanchich, Marie & Riege, Anine H (2013). Improbable outcomes: Infrequent or extraordinary?. Cognition.  ISSN 0010-0277.  127(1), s 119- 139 . doi: 10.1016/j.cognition.2012.12.005 Vis sammendrag

  Research on verbal probabilities has shown that unlikely or improbable events are believed to correspond to numerical probability values between 10% and 30%. However, building on a pragmatic approach of verbal probabilities and a new methodology, the present paper shows that unlikely outcomes are most often associated with outcomes that have a 0% frequency of occurrence. Five studies provide evidence that when people complete or evaluate statements describing “improbable” outcomes, based on outcome distributions or expected ranges, they favour extraordinary outcomes that have not occurred in the original sample. For quantitative outcomes that can be ordered on a unipolar dimension, an improbable outcome is typically perceived as having a higher outcome value than those observed. Thus when battery life for a sample of laptop batteries is shown to range from 2.5 to 4.5 hours, 5 or 6 hours are considered better examples of “improbable” duration times than those that actually occur in 10% of the cases. Similarly, an improbable exam grade is one that has not yet been observed, rather than one that has been obtained by a small percentage of students. And when climate experts claim that a 100 cm increase in sea level by the year 2100 is “improbable”, participants believe that the same experts’ maximum estimates will be much lower. We conclude that judgments of what is improbable suggest outcomes beyond the expected range, rather than simply low frequency outcomes. These results are compatible with a causal (propensity) interpretation rather than a statistical (frequency) interpretation of probabilities.

Se alle arbeider i Cristin

• Riege, Anine Cecilie (2015). Comparative processing - How to best evaluate your next vacation destination?. Impuls : Tidsskrift for psykologi.  ISSN 0801-2911.  68(1), s 53- 59
• Riege, Anine Cecilie; Bjørgfinsdottir, Røskva & Miljeteig, K. (2015). An eye for probabilities: The effect of answering format on Additivity neglect.
• Riege, Anine Cecilie & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2015). Everybody will win, and all must be hired:Comparing additivity neglect with the nonselective superiority bias.
• Riege, Anine Cecilie; Sulutvedt, Unni; Bjørgfinsdottir, Røskva & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2014). An eye-tracking analysis of the effect of answering format on additivity neglect.
• Riege, Anine Cecilie & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2014). The relationship between additivity neglect and the nonselective superiority bias.
• Riege, Anine Cecilie; Sulutvedt, Unni & Teigen, Karl Halvor (2013). Additivity neglect of probability estimates: An eye-tracking analysis.

Se alle arbeider i Cristin