Scott Barrett, Columbia University. "The Malaria Eradication Game"
ESOP seminar. Scott Barrett is a Professor at Columbia University. He will present the paper: "The Malaria Eradication Game".
Sometime in the future, representatives of the nations of the world may meet in Geneva to decide whether or not to declare a goal to eradicate malaria, a disease that currently puts about half of the world’s population at risk, causes over 200 million cases of infection a year, and kills over 400,000 people annually, mainly young children in sub-Saharan Africa. This paper develops a framework for making this decision. The model, building on the classic Ross-Macdonald model of malaria transmission, reveals the incentives that individuals have to protect themselves from malaria, the incentives that nation states have to control and possibly eliminate malaria unilaterally within their borders, and the incentives that all countries together have to eradicate malaria worldwide. The model also exposes the challenges that must be overcome in pursuit of this audacious goal.